Arguments for betting against the Alabama Crimson Tide in 2022


With the 2022 college football season steadily approaching, now is the best time to take a look at how to approach betting on some of the best teams in the country. This year has no shortage of Power 5 conference contenders.

Doug Kezirian kicks things off with a preview of the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide.

College Football Betting Overview Schedule

Thursday: Betting on Alabama
Friday: Ohio State Betting
Saturday: Paris Georgia
Monday: Paris Clemson
Tuesday: Paris Notre Dame

Pick: Alabama under 7.5 SEC wins (regular season)

Best case: The Crimson Tide are ranked No. 1 in the initial coaching poll for good reason. They return quarterback Bryce Young, who won the Heisman Trophy and is set for another stellar season. Nick Saban usually has his coaching staff raided, but he fires both coordinators, which is especially important with offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien. And while the Tide has lost several players to the NFL, it’s a program that’s just been reloaded with more stars. And after losing in the national championship game, this is a team that will be on a mission.

Worst case: The SEC is generally known for its quality football, but truth be told, Bama and Georgia have been on a different level over the past decade (aside from LSU’s national title season). However, teams in this second tier have really improved recently and look set for solid campaigns. Brian Kelly is figuring to transform LSU and has always maximized talent. Jimbo Fisher has Texas A&M headed in the right direction, including the Bama upset last year, and transfer QB Max Johnson should shine. Lane Kiffin made Ole Miss dangerous, and Sam Pittman got Arkansas in a groove. And thanks to transfers, Tennessee should be much better this season. I picked these schools because Alabama has to face them all, in addition to rival Auburn, which the Tide needed overtime to beat last year.

Betting round: I take under 7.5 conference wins because I think Bama could slip against any of these opponents. -160 juice translates to 61.5%, and I think there’s a better chance than that. Alabama lost as an 18-point favorite to Texas A&M last year, so it’s not so crazy to think that Tide is stumbling. They get the best shot out of every opponent, and for the first time in a long time, multiple SEC haters have closed the gap. Saban and the Tide are the gold standard, but they’re still capable of being upset by a ranked team. We never see two losses in the regular season, but we only need one.


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